CFA一级模块练习-权益投资18

　　1 .Ananalyst estimates the intrinsic value of a stock to be equal to ?1,567 pershare. If the current market value of the stock is ?1,487 per share, the stockis:

　　A)overvalued.

　　B)undervalued.

　　C)fairly valued.

　　The correct answer wasB

　　If a stock’s intrinsicvalue is greater than its market value, the stock is undervalued.

　　2 . Witronix is arapidly growing U.S. company that has increased free cash flow to equity anddividends at an average rate of 25% per year for the last four years. Thepresent value model that is most appropriate for estimating the value of thiscompany is a:

　　A)multistage dividenddiscount model.

　　B)Gordon growth model.

　　C)single stage freecash flow to equity model.

　　The correct answerwas: A

　　A multistage model isthe most appropriate model because the company is growing dividends at a higherrate than can be sustained in the long run. Though the company may be able togrow dividends at a higher-than-sustainable 25% annual rate for a finiteperiod, at some point dividend growth will have to slow to a lower, moresustainable rate. The Gordon growth model is appropriate to use for maturecompanies that have a history of increasing their dividend at a steady andsustainable rate. A single stage free cash flow to equity model is similar tothe Gordon growth model, but values future free cash flow to equity rather thandividends.

　　3 . All else equal, ifa firm’s return on equity (ROE) increases, the stock’s value as estimated bythe constant growth dividend discount model (DDM) will most likely:

　　A)increase.

　　B)not change.

　　C)decrease.

　　The correct answerwas: A

　　Increase in ROE: ROEis a component of g. As g increases, the spread between ke and g, or the P/Edenominator, will decrease, and the P/E ratio will increase.

　　4 . Assuming that acompany's return on equity (ROE) is 12% and the required rate of return is 10%,which of the following would most likely cause the company's P/E ratio to rise?

　　A)The firm's ROEfalls.

　　B)The inflation ratefalls.

　　C)The firm's dividendpayout rises.

　　The correct answer wasB

　　§    Decrease in the expected inflation rate. Theexpected inflation rate is a component of ke (through the nominal risk freerate). ke can be represented by the following: nominal risk free rate + stockrisk premium, where nominal risk free rate = [(1 + real risk free rate)(1 +expected inflation rate)] – 1.

　　§    If the rate of inflation decreases, thenominal risk free rate will decrease.

　　§    ke will decrease.

　　§    The spread between ke and g, or the P/Edenominator, will decrease.

　　§    P/E ratio will increase.

　　(An increase in thestock risk premium would have the opposite effect.)

　　§    Decrease in ROE: ROE is a component of g. Asg decreases, the spread between ke and g, or the P/E denominator, willincrease, and the P/E ratio will decrease.

　　§    Increase in dividend payout/reduction inearnings retention. In this case, an increase in the dividend payout willlikely decrease the P/E ratio because a decrease in earnings retention willlikely lower the P/E ratio. The logic is as follows: Because earnings retentionimpacts both the numerator (dividend payout) and denominator (g) of the P/Eratio, the impact of a change in earnings retention depends upon therelationship of ke and ROE. If the company is earning a higher rate on newprojects than the rate required by the market (ROE> ke), investors willlikely prefer that the company retain more earnings. Since an increase in thedividend payout would decrease earnings retention, the P/E ratio would fall, asinvestors will value the company lower if it retains a lower percentage ofearnings.

　　5 . Which of thefollowing is NOT a determinant of the expected price/earnings (P/E) ratio?

　　A)Expected dividendpayout ratio (D/E).

　　B)Average debt tocapital ratio (D/C).

　　C)Expected growth ratein dividends (g).

　　The correct answer wasB

　　The P/E ratio isdetermined by payout ratio D/E, required return Ke, and expected growth g.

 　　　　

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